Mobile Experts Inc. has announced a new service focused on the analysis of the impact of AI-based applications on 5G networks. In the latest research by the firm, it is predicted that “AI Assistants” and other AI-driven applications will surge mobile data traffic beyond the capacity of today’s networks.

The first report is now available, spotlighting how 5G networks are optimized for higher “downlink” traffic-from tower to device-compared to “uplink” traffic-from device to tower. While this infrastructure is optimum for applications such as video streaming and web browsing, the uplink traffic is likely to see an unprecedented rise with a rise in AI Assistants like Siri and Google Assistant. The release of Gen-AI-enhanced Siri may prove to be an inflection point.

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To date, AI tools like ChatGPT have had little impact on mobile networks since the data that is exchanged between devices and the cloud is mainly text and images-light on bandwidth. As AI applications increasingly use video, the network will come under great stress due to the large volume of data needed to upload video.

The AR applications are also gaining in popularity using much AI, in tandem with the fast-growing use of cloud-based AI processing. Other emerging applications for navigation, fashion, architecture, etc., will add to video upload demand.

While a lot of these processes of AI happen on smartphones, the more advanced tasks and especially those that require video migrate to cloud-based processing as the smartphones’ compute footprint continues to shrink, which pampers the data load on 5G.

“We predict that a mobile capacity gap opens from 2027 to 2028,” said Joe Madden, Principal Analyst at Mobile Experts. “While mobile traffic growth has tapered somewhat in the last few quarters, we forecast a rapid uplink data growth beginning in 2027 will leave the networks vulnerable to viral AR games or popular applications involving Gen-AI from 2028 to 2030. The 6G capacity will be critical to maintaining network performance in 2030,”

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